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Wake’s Third-Down Runs Expose Stanford Beyond the Turnover Column

Wake Forest did not need a turnover edge to overwhelm Stanford, whose offense stalled, defense failed on third down and game was effectively finished before the lone interception.

Briar Keller

October 4, 20264 min read

NCAA FootballFinal
Stanford Cardinal3
Wake Forest Demon Deacons57

October 3, 2026

This was a 57-3 demolition.

For the South Bay program, the striking detail sits outside the score: Wake Forest did not win the turnover margin. Each team gave the ball away once, and Stanford has yet to be outplayed in that category this season. The scoreboard was built elsewhere, through a steady failure to handle ordinary downs on offense and defense.

Wake led 36-3 when Davis Warren’s third-quarter pass was intercepted with 4:46 remaining in the period. The mistake ended a Stanford possession at the Wake 45, but it arrived after the game’s basic shape had been settled. Wake had already scored on a 13-play, 75-yard opening drive of the second half, a 4:59 march finished by Gio Lopez’s 4-yard touchdown run.

That possession was a concise explanation of the afternoon. Wake reached third down three times and converted every one. Lopez ran for 24 yards on third-and-2, then gained 9 on third-and-5. Ty Clark followed with a 3-yard run on third-and-1. Three chances for Stanford to get off the field became three first downs and, eventually, another touchdown.

The final conversion numbers were almost impolite: Wake went 10-for-13 on third down, while Stanford went 6-for-17. The Demon Deacons collected 26 first downs and 519 yards. Stanford had 13 first downs and 197 yards.

Possession time actually favored the Cardinal, 31:14 to 28:46, which removes another convenient explanation. Stanford held the ball longer. It gained much less territory and finished only one possession with points.

The first quarter supplied an early warning. Stanford recovered a muffed punt at the Wake 34, but the ensuing drive produced seven yards and ended when Emmet Kenney missed from 46 yards. Wake immediately answered with an eight-play, 72-yard touchdown drive. A 16-yard completion to Carlos Hernandez moved the chains, and Deuce Lawrence finished the possession by running 12 yards for the score.

The sequence mattered because it showed both sides of Stanford’s problem. A favorable field-position opportunity became no points, then Wake’s offense handled its own chance efficiently. On the Demon Deacons’ next touchdown drive, Jack Foley caught passes for 17 and 33 yards, the second reception carrying Wake to the Stanford 6.

Lopez then scored on a 5-yard run, with Wake adding a successful two-point conversion for a 15-0 lead.

Stanford did manage one substantial first-half possession. A 14-yard completion to Nico Brown helped move the Cardinal to the Wake 29 in the second quarter. But a 1-yard rushing loss and a 1-yard completion left fourth-and-6 at the 25.

Kenney converted from 43 yards, producing Stanford’s only points. Even its best early march ended with a field goal because the offense could not keep its down-and-distance situation favorable.

The ground game made that task harder. Stanford finished with 49 rushing yards on 34 attempts, an average of 1.4 yards per carry. Micah Ford led the team with 45 yards on 16 carries, but the overall production left too many possessions dependent on difficult passing downs.

Warren completed 19 of 30 attempts for 136 yards and one interception. Michael Mitchell Jr. added 12 passing yards in relief.

Wake had no such limitation at quarterback. Lopez threw for 265 yards and two touchdowns and ran for 88 yards and three scores through three quarters. Steele Pizzella added passing production after the game moved beyond reach, bringing Wake’s team total to 322.

Lopez had already done the decisive work. He repeatedly supplied first downs with his legs and kept Wake’s offense moving when Stanford needed a stop.

The interception at 4:46 of the third quarter did not create the 54-point margin. It merely joined a game that had already become one-sided. Stanford’s defense had been unable to finish drives, and Stanford’s offense had been unable to build them. The teams were even in giveaways; they were nowhere near even in execution.

Stanford has now lost 13 consecutive road games, a program record. Saturday’s defeat added an especially severe example: the Cardinal lost down after down before the turnover column had any chance to matter. Notre Dame is next on Oct. 10. The Cardinal will arrive having allowed three third-down rushing conversions on one touchdown drive—a specific failure to address before another road trip.

Sources

Stanford: game report

ESPN: game statistics and play-by-play

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Briar Keller

Briar Keller covers Saratoga high school and area college sports.

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