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VTA would not cut service if regional transit tax fails, but Caltrain warns of deep reductions

The Nov. 3 Connect Bay Area measure would add a half-cent sales tax in Santa Clara County and send VTA about $245 million a year; opponents say the agencies are overstating what a defeat would mean.

Paloma Janssen

October 7, 20262 min read

Regional Transit - illustration, Jake Team LLC

Santa Clara County's main transit agency would not have to shrink if voters reject the Bay Area's regional transit tax in November, but it also would not grow, and two rail systems that serve the county are warning of steep cuts, San José Spotlight reported Wednesday.

The Connect Bay Area measure, authorized by Senate Bill 63, would raise the sales tax by half a cent in Santa Clara, Alameda, Contra Costa and San Mateo counties and by 1 cent in San Francisco for 14 years starting April 1, 2027. It would raise about $980 million a year, with roughly $245 million, about a quarter, going to the Valley Transportation Authority.

It needs a simple majority to pass.

What each agency says

Sergio Lopez, a Campbell council member who chairs VTA's board, told the news site the agency is financially stable now. "Your transit service would not get better if the measure doesn't pass," he said, adding that the money would allow improvements other counties cannot make.

Caltrain expects a $75 million deficit in the fiscal year that begins next July. Its plan if the measure fails includes cutting peak weekday trains from every 15 minutes to once an hour, ending service at 9 p.m. instead of 1 a.m., closing more than a third of its stations and dropping weekend service.

Pat Burt, VTA's representative on the Caltrain board, said service south of San Jose to Gilroy would be most at risk because it carries the highest subsidy per rider.

BART, facing a projected $370 million gap, has outlined a 70% cut in operating hours, a 50% fare increase and 15 station closures. Its two Santa Clara County stations, Milpitas and Berryessa/North San Jose, are run by VTA and are unlikely to be affected, according to the report, and the BART extension to downtown San Jose would get no money from the measure.

The opposition

The Committee for Affordable Bay Area Transit argues the agencies are presenting worst-case scenarios instead of managing the roughly $6.2 billion they will keep getting from existing sources. Committee officer Thunder Parlay, a San Jose resident who said he rides VTA buses, cited Caltrain's South County service as an example of high per-rider costs.

Supporters point to a SPUR study that projected longer commutes if transit is cut, though all eight bottlenecks it named are north of Santa Clara County.

Santa Clara County has already mailed ballots for the Nov. 3 election.

Sources

sanjosespotlight.com

my.lwv.org

masstransitmag.com

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Paloma Janssen

Paloma Janssen covers weather, storms, and seasonal life around Saratoga.

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